Major Power in the Making: Analisis Komprehensif Status Indonesia dalam Hirarki Politik Internasional, 2014-2024

Mohamad Rosyidin, Indra Kusumawardhana

Abstract

Indonesia’s status as a middle power has become a commonsense in contemporary International Relations (IR) literature. Existing scholarships on this topic rely on a behavioral approach, emphasizing foreign policy characteristics in defining Indonesia’s status. Other scholars employ a material approach, measuring Indonesia’s economic as well as military capabilities. Previous studies have tended to overlook social and psychological elements of Indonesia’s international standing. This paper argues that Indonesia’s status cannot be determined by partial perspectives. Rather, it requires a comprehensive analysis by incorporating material, behavioral, social, and psychological elements to determine Indonesia’s status at the global level. Based on a comprehensive analysis of Indonesia’s foreign policy during Joko Widodo administration (2014-2024), this paper contends that Indonesia can be classified as an intermittent major power, that is, a country that not only aspires to be a major power but also asccending the hierarchy of international politics. In other words, Indonesia is a major power in the making. This idea supports the claim that Indonesia has a great power mentality stemming from its glorious past. This explains why Indonesia’s foreign policy frequently exhibits great power aspirations.

Full Text:

PDF

References

Acharya, A. (2019). Why ASEAN’s Indo-Pacific outlook matters. Tersedia di: https://eastasiaforum.org/2019/08/11/why-aseans-indo-pacific-outlook-matters/

Acharya, A. (2014) Indonesia Matters: Asia’s Emerging Democratic Power. Singapore: World Scientific.

Agastia, I.G.B.D. (2020). Understanding Indonesia’s role in the ‘ASEAN Outlook on the Indo-Pacific’: a role theory approach. Asia & the Pacific Policy Studies, 7(3), 293-305. doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/app5.308

Alfian, R.A., Putri, G.C., dan Ardhani, I. (2018). Haluan baru politik luar negeri Indonesia: perbandingan diplomasi ‘middle power’ Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono dan Joko Widodo. Jurnal Hubungan Internasional, 6(2), 151-168. doi: https://doi.org/10.18196/hi.62112

Anas, T., Hill, H., Narjoko, D., & Putra, C.T. (2022). The Indonesian economy in turbulent times. Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, 58(3), 241-271. doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/00074918.2022.2133344

Anwar, D.F. (2020). Indonesia and the ASEAN outlook on the Indo-Pacific. International Affairs, 96(1), 111-129. doi: https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiz223

ASEAN. (2021). ASEAN Outlook on the Indo-Pacific. Tersedia di: https://asean.org/asean2020/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/ASEAN-Outlook-on-the-Indo-Pacific_FINAL_22062019.pdf

Bappenas. (2021). Updated Indonesia Untuk Masa Depan yang Tangguh Iklim. Tersedia di: https://greengrowth.bappenas.go.id/updated-ndc-indonesia-untuk-masa-depan-yang-tangguh-iklim/

BBC Indonesia. (2015). Komitmen Indonesia di KTT perubahan iklim diragukan. Tersedia di: https://www.bbc.com/indonesia/berita_indonesia/2015/11/151129_indonesia_jokowi_cop21

Bisnis. (2023). Indonesia beli 2 helikopter Sikorsky S-70M, ini harga dan spesifikasinya. Tersedia di: https://kabar24.bisnis.com/read/20230825/15/1688262/indonesia-beli-2-lusin-helikopter-sikorsky-s-70m-black-hawk-ini-harga-dan-spesifikasinya

Bull, H. (1977). The Anarchical Society: the Study of Order in World Politics. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.

CIA. (tanpa tahun). Country comparisons: military expenditures. Tersedia di: https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/field/military-expenditures/country-comparison/

CNBC Indonesia. (2022a). Simak pernyataan lengkap Jokowi sebelum berangkat ke G7. Tersedia di: https://www.cnbcindonesia.com/news/20220626164524-4-350488/simak-pernyataan-lengkap-jokowi-sebelum-berangkat-ke-g7

CNBC Indonesia. (2022b). Pidato lengkap Jokowi di KTT G20: krisis hingga perang dingin. Tersedia di: https://www.cnbcindonesia.com/news/20221115103852-4-388047/pidato-lengkap-jokowi-di-ktt-g20-krisis-hingga-perang-dingin

CNBC Indonesia. (2023a). Prabowo beli kapal selam siluman, punya rudal bawah laut. Tersedia di: https://www.cnbcindonesia.com/news/20230314091340-4-421421/prabowo-beli-kapal-selam-siluman-punya-rudal-bawah-laut

CNBC Indonesia. (2023b). Akhir November 2023, utang pemerintah tembus Rp. 8.401 T. Tersedia di: https://www.cnbcindonesia.com/news/20231219100526-4-498462/akhir-november-2023-utang-pemerintah-tembus-rp8041-t

CNN Indonesia. (2018). Di DK PBB Menlu bahas peran perempuan di pasukan perdamaian. Tersedia di: https://www.cnnindonesia.com/internasional/20180329182008-134-286934/di-dk-pbb-menlu-bahas-peran-perempuan-di-pasukan-perdamaian

CNN Indonesia. (2023). Prabowo: Indonesia kaya dan besar, buat iri bangsa lain. Tersedia di: https://www.cnnindonesia.com/nasional/20230615170131-32-962417/prabowo-indonesia-kaya-dan-besar-buat-iri-bangsa-lain

Cornelissen, S. (2010). The geopolitics of global aspiration: sport mega-events and emerging powers. International Journal of the History of Sport, 27(16-18), 3008-3025. doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/09523367.2010.508306

CSIS Indonesia. (2023). Pidato calon presiden Republik Indonesia: arah dan strategi politik luar negeri. Tersedia di: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ISfjRiXASX8

Dafoe, A., & Caughey, D. (2016). Honor and war: Southern US presidents and the effects of concern for reputation. World Politics, 68(2), 341-381. doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0043887115000416

Dafoe, A., Renshon, J., & Huth, P. (2014). Reputation and status as motives for war. Annual Review of Political Science, 17(1), 371-393. doi: https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-polisci-071112-213421

Detik. (2019). RI terpilih lagi jadi anggota Dewan HAM PBB, Menlu Retno: ini amanah. Tersedia di: https://news.detik.com/berita/d-4750257/ri-terpilih-lagi-jadi-anggota-dewan-ham-pbb-menlu-retno-ini-amanah

Detik. (2021). Jokowi: Indonesia bangsa maritim harus kita kokohkan, jangan jargon semata. Tersedia dia: https://news.detik.com/berita/d-5737016/jokowi-indonesia-bangsa-maritim-harus-kita-kokohkan-jangan-jargon-semata

Friedrich, J., Ge, M., Pickens, A., & Vigna, L. (2023). This interative chart shows change in the world’s top 10 emitters. Tersedia di: https://www.wri.org/insights/interactive-chart-shows-changes-worlds-top-10-emitters

Gindarsah, I., & Priamarizki, A. (2021). Explaining Indonesia’s under-balancing: the case of the modernisation of the Air Force and Navy. Journal of Asian Security and International Affairs, 8(3), 391-412. doi: https://doi.org/10.1177/23477970211039645

Grix, J., & Lee, D. (2013). Soft power, sports mega-events and emerging states: the lure of the politics of attraction. Global Society, 27(4), 521-536. doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/13600826.2013.827632

Harijanto, C. (2024). Middle-power behaviors: Australia’s status quoist/Lockean and Indonesia’s reformist/Lockean approaches to crisis of legitimacy in the Indo-Pacific. Australian Journal of International Affairs, 78(1), 40-57. doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/10357718.2023.2283473

Hidayatullah, N.L. (2017). Indonesia’s role as a middle power: a neo-liberalist and constructivist analysis. Jurnal Analisis Hubungan Internasional, 6(2), 1-11.

IISS. (2023). The Military Balance 2023. London: Routledge.

IMF. (2022). Central government debt: percent of GDP. Tersedia di: https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/CG_DEBT_GDP@GDD/CHN/FRA/DEU/ITA/JPN/GBR/USA

IMF. (2024). GDP, current prices. Tersedia di: https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/NGDPD@WEO/OEMDC/ADVEC/WEOWORLD/IDN

Jakarta Globe. (2023). Indonesian military loses combat readiness due to outdated weaponry: expert. Tersedia di: https://jakartaglobe.id/news/indonesian-military-loses-combat-readiness-due-to-outdated-weaponry-expert

Karim, M.F. (2018). Middle power, status-seeking, and role conceptions: the cases of Indonesia and South Korea. Australian Journal of International Affairs, 72(4), 343-363. doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/10357718.2018.1443428

Karim, M.F., and Nabila, R. (2022). Role conception of the Asia-Pacific middle powers: comparative analysis of Indonesia, South Korea, Australia and Vietnam. Journal of Asian Security and International Affairs, 9(2), 231-254. doi: https://doi.org/10.1177/23477970221098469

Katadata Indonesia. (2023). Anies Baswedan: Indonesia harus jadi pemain utama di dunia. Tersedia di: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-7QdK8HVXvU

Kementerian Energi dan Sumber Daya Mineral RI. (2022). Jepang-Indonesia inisiasi Asia Zero Emission Community. Tersedia di: https://www.esdm.go.id/en/media-center/news-archives/jepang-indonesia-inisiasi-asia-zero-emission-community

Kementerian Energi dan Sumber Daya Mineral RI. (2024). Pemerintah Sukses Tekan Emisi GRK dan Intensitas Energi Primer. Tersedia di: https://www.esdm.go.id/id/media-center/arsip-berita/pemerintah-sukses-tekan-emisi-grk-dan-intensitas-energi-primer#:~:text=Pemerintah%20Indonesia%20berhasil%20mencapai%20realisasi,sebesar%20116%20juta%20ton%20CO2e.

Kementerian Komunikasi dan Informatika RI. (2022). Diplomasi mangrove ala Jokowi di KTT G20. Tersedia di: https://www.kominfo.go.id/content/detail/45758/diplomasi-mangrove-ala-jokowi-di-ktt-g20/0/artikel_gpr

Kementerian Luar Negeri RI. (2019). Keanggotaan Indonesia pada DK PBB. Tersedia di: https://kemlu.go.id/portal/id/read/147/halaman_list_lainnya/keanggotaan-indonesia-pada-dk-pbb

Kementerian Luar Negeri RI. (2022). Presidensi G20 Indonesia. Tersedia di: https://kemlu.go.id/portal/id/read/3288/berita/presidensi-g20-indonesia

Kementerian Luar Negeri RI. (2024). Pidato Menlu pada Pernyataan Pers Tahunan Menteri Luar Negeri RI tahun 2024. Tersedia di: https://kemlu.go.id/portal/id/read/5658/pidato/pidato-menlu-pada-pernyataan-pers-tahunan-menteri-luar-negeri-ri-tahun-2024

Kementerian Pertahanan RI. (2023a). TNI AU tambah 5 pesawat C-130J, pesawat pertama akan tiba awal Maret 2023 dari AS. Tersedia di: https://www.kemhan.go.id/2023/02/22/tni-au-tambah-5-pesawat-c-130-j-pesawat-pertama-akan-tiba-awal-maret-2023-dari-as.html

Kementerian Pertahanan RI. (2023b). Menhan Prabowo perkuat TNI melalui pembelian 24 pesawat tempur F-15EX baru dari AS. Tersedia di: https://www.kemhan.go.id/2023/08/22/menhan-prabowo-perkuat-tni-melalui-pembelian-24-pesawat-tempur-f-15ex-baru-dari-as.html

Kementerian Pertahanan RI. (2024). Menhan Prabowo datangkan 42 pesawat tempur Rafale dari Prancis, TNI AU akan semakin menggentarkan. Tersedia di: https://www.kemhan.go.id/2024/01/09/menhan-prabowo-datangkan-42-pesawat-tempur-rafale-dari-prancis-tni-au-akan-semakin-menggentarkan.html

Kementerian Sekretariat Negara RI. (2021). Wujudkan Indonesia jadi poros maritim dunia, perlu peran semua pihak. Tersedia di: https://www.setneg.go.id/baca/index/wujudkan_indonesia_jadi_poros_maritim_dunia_perlu_peran_semua_pihak

Kompas. (2023a). MEF dinilai sulit terpenuhi, militer butuh strategi baru. Tersedia di: https://www.kompas.id/baca/polhuk/2023/03/17/mef-dinilai-sulit-terpenuhi-militer-butuh-strategi-baru

Kompas. (2023b). Hadiri undangan KTT G7, Jokowi ingin suara negara berkembang didengar oleh negara-negara maju. Tersedia di: https://nasional.kompas.com/read/2023/05/19/13351461/hadiri-undangan-ktt-g7-jokowi-ingin-suara-negara-berkembang-didengar-oleh

Kompas. (2023c). Jokowi: Indonesia negara besar, harus duduk sejajar dengan negara lain. Tersedia di: https://nasional.kompas.com/read/2023/06/01/11123361/jokowi-indonesia-negara-besar-harus-duduk-sejajar-dengan-negara-lain

Kompas. (2023d). Jokowi tegaskan Indonesia belum gabung jadi anggota BRICS. Tersedia di: https://nasional.kompas.com/read/2023/08/24/21174491/jokowi-tegaskan-indonesia-belum-gabung-jadi-anggota-brics

Kontan. (2016). JK buka kampanye RI jadi anggota DK PBB. Tersedia di: https://nasional.kontan.co.id/news/jk-buka-kampanye-ri-jadi-anggota-dk-pbb

Kumparan. (2019). 4 capaian Indonesia di DK PBB selama 3 bulan bertugas. Tersedia di: https://kumparan.com/kumparannews/4-capaian-indonesia-di-dk-pbb-selama-3-bulan-bertugas-1553775680034774719/full

Larson, D.W., & Shevchenko, A. (2010). Status seekers: Chinese and Russian response to US primacy. International Security, 34(4), 63-96. doi: https://doi.org/10.1162/isec.2010.34.4.63

Larson, D.W., & Shevchenko, A. (2019). Quest for Status: Chinese and Russian Foreign Policy. New Haven: Yale University Press.

Lemhanas RI. (2022). Dorong Indonesia jadi kekuatan maritim, Andi Widjajanto: Indonesia butuh perencanaan sampai 2070. Tersedia di: https://www.lemhannas.go.id/index.php/publikasi/press-release/1685-dorong-indonesia-jadi-kekuatan-maritim-andi-widjajanto-indonesia-butuh-perencanaan-sampai-2070

Levy, J. (1983). War in the Modern Great Power System: 1495-1975. Lexington: Kentucky University Press.

Metro TV. (2024). Penyampaian visi misi calon wakil presiden Gibran Rakabuming Raka. Tersedia di: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JzzwyA-Kxac

Miller, M.C. (2021). Why Nations Rise: Narratives and the Path to Great Power. New York: Oxford University Press.

Murray, M. (2018). The Struggle for Recognition in International Relations: Status, Revisionism, and Rising Powers. New York: Oxford University Press.

Nesmashnyi, A., Zhornist, V., & Safranchuk, I. (2022). International hierarchy and functional differentiation of states: results of an expert survey. MGIMO Review of International Relations, 15(3), 7-38. doi: https://doi.org/10.24833/2071-8160-2022-olf2-supl

Patton, S., Sato, J., and Lemahieu, H. (2023). Lowly Institute Asia Power Index: 2023 Key Findings Report. Sidney: Lowly Institute.

Paul, T.V., Larson, D.W., & Wohlforth, W. (2014). Status in World Politics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Ping, J. (2005). Middle Power Statecraft: Indonesia, Malaysia, and the Asia Pacific. London: Routledge.

Reid. A. (2012). Indonesia Rising: The Repositioning of Asia’s Third Giant. Singapore: ISEAS.

Renshon, J. (2016). Status deficits and war. International Organization, 70(3), 513-550. doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0020818316000163

Renshon, J. (2017). Fighting for Status: Hierarchy and Conflict in World Politics. New Jersey: Princeton University Press.

Roberts, C., Habir, A., & Sebastian, L. (2015). Indonesia’s Ascent: Power, Leadership, and the Regional Order. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.

Rosyidin, M. (2019). Indonesia Menuju Kekuatan Dunia Abad-21: Politik Luar Negeri di Era Joko Widodo. Jakarta: Elex Media Komputindo.

Rosyidin, M. (2021). The cult of glory: national myth and the idea of Global Maritime Fulcrum in Indonesia’s foreign policy, 2014-2019. South East Asia Research, 29(3), 297-314. doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/0967828X.2021.1954484

Rosyidin, M. (2023). Pragmatisme multilateral dalam momen keketuaan Indonesia di G20 dan ASEAN, 2022-2023. Politica, 14(2), 131-152. doi: https://doi.org/10.22212/jp.v14i2.4123

Rosyidin, M., & Kusumawardhana, I. (2022). Participating for profit: bilateral-multilateral nexus in Indonesian foreign policy in the era of Joko Widodo (2014-2019). Politik Indonesia, 7(1), 11-35.

Rosyidin, M., & Kusumawardhana, I. (tanpa tahun). Major power wannabe: military modernization and Indonesia’s status signaling under Yudhoyono and Widodo. Manuskrip tidak dipublikasikan.

Rosyidin, M., & Pattipeilohy, S.C.H. (2020). Regionalism under challenge: ideas and Joko Widodo’s foreign policy towards ASEAN, 2014-2019. Journal of ASEAN Studies, 8(2), 147-172. doi: https://doi.org/10.21512/jas.v8i2.6596

Rosyidin, M., and Kusumawardhana, I. (2024). Neither promoting nor projecting democracy: Indonesia’s middlepowermanship in the Bali democracy forum under Joko Widodo. International Relations of the Asia-Pacific, 24(1), 65-100. doi: https://doi.org/10.1093/irap/lcad002

Rosyidin, M., and Ramadhani, K.S. (2023). Diplomasi Middle Power Indonesia di G20 dan Bali Democracy Forum. Yogyakarta: Journal Publishing.

Sekretariat Kabinet RI. (2014a). Pidato Presiden Joko Widodo pada pelantikan presiden dan wakil presiden Republik Indonesia di gedung MPR, Senayan, Jakarta, 20 Oktober 2014. Tersedia di: https://setkab.go.id/pidato-presiden-joko-widodo-pada-pelantikan-presiden-dan-wakil-presiden-republik-indonesia-di-gedung-mpr-senayan-jakarta-20-oktober-2014/

Sekretariat Kabinet RI. (2014b). Remarks by Indonesian President Joko Widodo at the APEC CEO Summit on November 10, 2014 in Beijing, China. Tersedia di: https://setkab.go.id/remarks-by-indonesian-president-joko-jokowi-widodo-at-the-apec-ceo-summit-on-november-10-2014-in-beijing-china/

Sekretariat Kabinet RI. (2014c). Pidato Presiden RI Joko Widodo pada KTT ke-9 Asia Timur di Nay Pyi Taw, Myanmar, 13 November 2014. Tersedia di: https://setkab.go.id/pidato-presiden-ri-joko-widodo-pada-ktt-ke-9-asia-timur-di-nay-pyi-taw-myanmar-13-november-2014/

Sekretariat Kabinet RI. (2015). Presiden Jokowi sampaikan komitmen Indonesia turunkan emisi 29%. Tersedia di: https://setkab.go.id/presiden-jokowi-sampaikan-komitmen-indonesia-turunkan-emisi-29/

Sekretariat Kabinet RI. (2016). Pidato di sidang IMO Presiden Jokowi komitmen jadikan Indonesia poros maritim dunia. Tersedia di: https://setkab.go.id/pidato-di-sidang-imo-presiden-jokowi-komitmen-jadikan-indonesia-poros-maritim-dunia/

Sekretariat Kabinet RI. (2020). Selesai Agustus 2020, ini capaian Indonesia sebagai presidendi Dewan Keamanan PBB. Tersedia di: https://setkab.go.id/selesai-agustus-2020-ini-capaian-indonesia-sebagai-presidensi-dewan-keamanan-pbb/

Shekhar, V. (2018). Indonesia’s Foreign Policy and Grand Strategy in the 21st Century: Rise of an Indo-Pacific Power. New York: Routledge.

Sil, R., & Katzenstein, P. (2010). Beyond Paradigms: Analytic Eclecticism in the Study of World Politics. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.

SIPRI. (2022). SIPRI military expenditure database. Tersedia di: https://milex.sipri.org/sipri

Sukma, R. (2014). Gagasan poros maritim dunia. Tersedia di: https://money.kompas.com/read/2014/08/21/080000726/Gagasan.Poros.Maritim

Tempo. (2018). Prabowo: make Indonesia great again. Tersedia di: https://en.tempo.co/read/922466/prabowo-make-indonesia-great-again

The Jakarta Post. (2015). Retno denies RI too inward looking. Tersedia di: https://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2015/06/15/retno-denies-ri-too-inward-looking.html

The White House. (2022). G20 Bali Leaders’ Declaration. Tersedia di: https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2022/11/16/g20-bali-leaders-declaration/

Thies, C., and Sari, A. (2018). A role theory approach to middle powers: making sense of Indonesia’s place in the international system. Contemporary Southeast Asia 40(3), 397-421. doi: 10.1355/cs40-3c

UN. (2020). Resolution 2538. Tersedia di: https://digitallibrary.un.org/record/3878808?ln=ru

UPNVJ. (2023). Menhan RI Prabowo Subianto optimistis Indonesia jadi high income country dengan mahasiswa UPNVJ yang berkualitas. Tersedia di: https://www.upnvj.ac.id/id/berita/2023/08/menhan-ri-prabowo-subianto-optimistis-indonesia-jadi-high-income-country-dengan-mahasiswa-upnvj-yang-berkualitas.html

Volgy, T., & Mayhall, S. (1995). Status inconsistency and international war: exploring the effects of systemic change. International Studies Quarterly, 39(1), 67-84. doi: https://doi.org/10.2307/2600724

Volgy, T., Corbetta, R., Grant, K., & Baird, R. (2011). Major Powers and the Quest for Status in International Politics: Global and Regional Perspectives. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.

Wallace, M. (1971). Power, status, and international war. Journal of Peace Research, 8(1), 23-35. doi: https://doi.org/10.1177/00223433710080010

Ward, S. (2019). Logic of stratified identity management in world politics. International Theory, 11(2), 211-238. doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S175297191800026X

Ward, S.M. (2017). Lost in translation: social identity theory and the study of status in world politics. International Studies Quarterly, 61(4), 821-834. doi: https://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqx042

Wight, M. (1991). International Theory: The Three Traditions. Leicester: Leicester University Press.

Wohlforth, W. (2009). Unipolarity, status competition, and great power war. World Politics, 61(1), 28-57. doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0043887109000021

Wolf, R. (2011). Respect and disrecpect in international politics: the significance of status recognition. International Theory, 3(1), 105-142. doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S1752971910000308

World Bank. (2022). Upper middle income countries 2022. Tersedia di: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.CD?locations=ID-XT

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.